Seite - 146 - in Critical Issues in Science, Technology and Society Studies - Conference Proceedings of the 17th STS Conference Graz 2018

the first circle of experts thus lies on the researcher’s shoulders and the choice has to be as explicit and reflective as possible. Conclusion The post-carbon future might not to be forecasted, but instead to be carefully constructed: the point is to try to shed light on different possible futures in order to gain a better understanding of the system and guide our choices and actions at the present. Revealing potential paths to a post-carbon future requires detailed and qualified estimates of possible future development pathways in particular areas of the socio-economic systems, as well as more general proposals, ideas and visions regarding future economic structures, available technologies, infrastructure and policies. The transformation requires understanding interconnections between developments in various economic sectors. We propose to base the related scenario building on a participatory process bringing together experts with knowledge of possible future developments in particular economic sectors (organizational and technological changes that are supposed to be leading to a post-carbon economy) with experts on policies for the post-carbon transformation, identifying the likely obstacles and accelerators of the transformation process. The expert judgements are translated into the information about technical coefficients expected developments, incorporated into the logic of an input-output model of 2050. References Bernardo, Giovanni and Simone D’Alessandro (2016), 'Systems-Dynamic Analysis of Employment and Inequality Impacts of Low-Carbon Investments', Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 21: 123–144. Bijker, Wiebe E. (1997), 'Of Bicycles, Bakelites, and Bulbs: Toward a Theory of Sociotechnical Change.' Cambridge: The MIT Press. Duchin, Faye and Glenn-Marie Lange (1995), 'The Future of the Environment: Ecological Economics and Technological Change.' New York: Oxford University Press. IEA (2018), Energy and CO2 emissions in the OECD, https://www.iea.org/media/statistics/ Energy_and_CO2_Emissions_in_the_OECD.pdf [downloaded 25 June 2018] Feyerabend, Paul (1993), 'Against Method.' London: Verso. Funtowicz, Silvio O. and Jerome R. Ravetz (1994), 'The Worth of a Songbird: Ecological Economics as a Post-Normal Science', Ecological Economics 10 (3): 197–207. Haag, Daniel and Martin Kaupenjohann (2001), 'Parameters, Prediction, Post-Normal Science and the Precautionary Principle – a Roadmap for Modelling for Decision-Making', Ecological Modelling 144 (1): 45–60. Kerschner, Christian and Klaus Hubacek (2009), 'Assessing the Suitability of Input–Output Analysis for Enhancing Our Understanding of Potential Economic Effects of Peak Oil', Energy 34 (10): 284– 290. Klein, Hans K. and Daniel Lee Kleinman (2002), 'The Social Construction of Technology: Structural Considerations', Science, Technology, & Human Values 27 (1): 28–52. Latour, Bruno (1987), 'Science in Action: How to Follow Scientists and Engineers Through Society.' 146