Page - 3 - in options, Volume winter 2016/2017

contents 3winter 2016/2017 + optionswww.iiasa.ac.at options 2 editorial 2 Demystifying our methods 4 research news 4 Country pledges overshoot Paris limits  To wipe out a disease: model the costs 5 Spreading environmentally conscious behavior  Citizen science observatory  Flood resilience portal  Hand strength and health  Challenges for water security in Asia 6 New insight on migration  Sustainability trade‑offs  Soil  data  key for food security  Can palm oil be sustainable?  Oil price and climate 7 research tools & methods 7 Cutting model uncertainty using natural selection 8 science into policy 8 Supporting national climate policy 9 Invest in energy to cut air  pollution deaths    Improving  air quality in India  A systems view of geohazards  Evidence & policy in the EU & Africa  Monitoring water security 22 regional focus 22 africa How will climate change affect water resources?  Impacts of behavioral factors on the economic feasibility of solar power projects 23 americas Freeing crude oil exports yields benefits  Managing an endangered river across the US–Mexico border 24 asia Beijing’s bad air boom is partly homemade  A tale of two cities: Beijing before and after 2000 25 asia Climate change threatens Iran’s great salt lake  Parents  still prefer boys, but less so 26 europe A deluge of data helps flood impact forecasting  In a climate of uncertainty, delaying decisions can cost 27 institute news 27 World leaders at IIASA 28 Postdoc placements to further international systems analysis  Can business help drive sustainability? 29 Howard Raiffa 1924–2016  Top think tank  Austria honors Naki  Award for climate solutions  A leader in ecological systems  Groundbreaking population research 30 people at iiasa 30 yssp Root fungi affect rate of climate change YSSP’16 participant César Terrer helps improve climate change predictions by furthering understanding of how plants use CO2 30 yssp Science to policy in the Arctic Council YSSP’16 participant Malgorzata Smiezek seeks ways to bring  science closer to decision making 31 interview Science to policy through art Q&A with IIASA Science and Art Associate Gloria Benedikt 10 opinion Building bridges for sustainable  development By Pascal Lamy 11 Q & A Peace is the prerequisite for  sustainable development Interview with Heinz Fischer 12 Preventing tragedy with  clumsy  solutions Reaching resolutions based  on all  voices of the debate 14 cover feature An infinite number of futures IIASA provides a new toolbox for researchers to  explore the future of the planet, humanity, and the climate 18 Our daily bread Planning for the future to ensure no one goes hungry 20 Metropolis rising Could cities drive a global transition towards  sustainability? Cover photo An IIASA researcher’s blackboard © Katherine Leitzell | IIASA