Seite - 175 - in Clean Water Using Solar and Wind - Outside the Power Grid

© 2019 The Author. This is an Open Access book chapter distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits copying and redistribution for non-commercial purposes with no derivatives, provided the original work is properly cited (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). This does not affect the rights licensed or assigned from any third party in this book. The chapter is from the book Clean Water Using Solar and Wind: Outside the Power Grid, Gustaf Olsson (Author). doi: 10.2166/9781780409443_0175 Chapter 15 Outlook to 2030 and further “World electricity demand is expected to grow by more than 50% by 2030, mostly in developing and emerging economies. To meet this demand while also realising global development and sustainability goals, governments must implement policies that enable solar to achieve its full potential.” Adnan Z. Amin, IRENA Director-General, 2016. The year 2030 is only 12 years away. Many organisations have published predictions for 2030 and further ahead and they are in general ambitious and optimistic. Predicting the unpredictable may give us a laugh when we read it again after a few years; but looking back is easy. It can be useful, but speculation about the future propels us forward; and there is no time to waste. 15.1 PREDICTIONS FOR RENEWABLES IRENA (2016b, 2017a) envision an optimistic and ambitious goal for renewables. According to their prediction and ambition there will by 2030 be a doubling of the energy share from renewables, up to 36%. The share of solar PV is expected to increase six times, up to 7% of the Downloaded from https://iwaponline.com/ebooks/book-pdf/520710/wio9781780409443.pdf by IWA Publishing user