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high efficiency in optimization of reservoir operation can be achieved, as shown
in [11]. However, it is worth mentioning that the representation of the KL
expansion is specific to inflow distribution. Different inflow ensembles i.e., the
ESP may result in different KL expansion form in which the parameter of M may
vary from case to case.
5. CONCULUSIONS
The ensemble inflow and its associated uncertainty can be modeled by a KL
representation with only three terms, meaning three variables. This result in a
high efficiency in modeling the propagation and optimal control of the inflow
uncertainty in reservoir operation, comparing to Monte Carlo method which
normally sampling thousand times in each optimization routine.
ACKNOWLEGEMENT
The authors thank National Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province
(2017CFB613) and open funding of Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Key
Technology on Hydropower Development(PKLHD201705). The authors would
also like to thank Prof. Nathan Gibson and Dr. Veronika Vasylkivska for providing
the Matlab code for the Karhunen-Loeve expansion.
REFERENCES
[1] KIM, S., LIMON, R. A., et al. Integrating Ensemble Forecasts of
Precipitation and Streamflow into Decision Support for Reservoir
Operations in North Central Texas. In AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, 2016,
Feb.
[2] KosambiD. D., Statistics in function space, J. Indian Math. Soc. (N.S.) 7
(1943), 76–88.
[3] Karhunen K.K, On linear methods in probability and statistics, Ann. Acad.
Sci. Fennicae. Ser. A. I. Math.-Phys., 1947, No. 37, 1–79.
[4] Williams, M. M. R. (2015). Numerical solution of the Karhunen–Loeve
integral equation with examples based on various kernels derived from the
Nataf procedure. Annals of Nuclear Energy, 76, 19-26.
[5] XIU, D. (2010). Numerical methods for stochastic computations: a spectral
method approach. Princeton University Press, 2010.
[6] Narayanan, M. V., King, M. A., Soares, E. J., Byrne, C. L., Pretorius, P. H.,
&Wernick, M. N. (1999). Application of the Karhunen-Loeve transform to 4D
176
Book of Full Papers
Symposium Hydro Engineering
- Title
- Book of Full Papers
- Subtitle
- Symposium Hydro Engineering
- Author
- Gerald Zenz
- Publisher
- Verlag der Technischen Universität Graz
- Location
- Graz
- Date
- 2018
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-85125-620-8
- Size
- 20.9 x 29.6 cm
- Pages
- 2724
- Keywords
- Hydro, Engineering, Climate Changes
- Categories
- International
- Naturwissenschaften Physik
- Technik