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Table 2
Comparison of ROC score
DIDI SWSI SPI(3) SPI(6) SPI(9) SPI(12)
ROC
Score 0.93 0.72 0.60 0.71 0.77 0.76
4. CONCLUSIONS
This study developed and evaluated Dam Inflow Drought Index (DIDI) for
Chungju Dam in Korea. The DIDI is calculated considering the dam operation.
Critical inflows for each month are calculated using the criteria for water supply
adjustment. The DIDI can be estimated by dividing the cumulated difference
between the observed inflow and critical inflow (CDI) by its standard deviation.
Considering the limit of dam storage, the upper limit of CDI has to be determined,
and the threshold was estimated by RCO analysis. ROC analysis is implemented
using results of the dam operation simulation and DIDI for various thresholds.
Optimal threshold of Chungju Dam was calculated as 630 ×106 m3, DIDI applying
the threshold expressed the drought at the time of reduction in water supply
adequately. And the DIDI also showed much better performance in monitoring dam
droughts than SWSI and short- and long-term SPI (3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-months SPI).
The DIDI is useful for monitoring and responding the drought of dam inflow, and its
application could help to mitigate drought damages.
REFERENCES
[1] Wilhite, D.A. (2006). Drought monitoring and early warning: Concepts,
progress and future challenges. World Meteorological Organization, 24 pp.
[2] Sheffield, J., Wood, E.F., and Roderick, M.L. (2012). Little change in global
drought over the past 60 years. Nature, 491 (7424), 435-438.
[3] Sternberg, T. (2011). Regional drought has a global impact. Nature, 472
(7342), 169-169.
[4] Wilhite, D.A., and Glantz, M.H. (1985). Understanding: the drought
phenomenon: the role of definitions. Water International, 10 (3), 111-120.
[5] McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J., and Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought
frequency and duration to time scales. Proceedings of the 8th Conference on
Applied Climatology, Boston, MA, USA, 17 (22), 179-183.
[6] Palmer, W.C. (1965). Meteorological drought (Vol. 30). Washington, DC,
USA: US Department of Commerce, 58 pp.
578
Book of Full Papers
Symposium Hydro Engineering
- Title
- Book of Full Papers
- Subtitle
- Symposium Hydro Engineering
- Author
- Gerald Zenz
- Publisher
- Verlag der Technischen Universität Graz
- Location
- Graz
- Date
- 2018
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-85125-620-8
- Size
- 20.9 x 29.6 cm
- Pages
- 2724
- Keywords
- Hydro, Engineering, Climate Changes
- Categories
- International
- Naturwissenschaften Physik
- Technik