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Energies 2018,11, 213
Figure2.Theone-dimensional (1D)convolutionandpooling layer.
The other popular solution of the forecastingproblem is Long Short TermMemorynetwork
(LSTM) [33]. The LSTM is a recurrent neural network,which has beenused to solvemany time
sequenceproblems. ThestructureofLSTMisshowninFigure3,anditsoperation is illustratedbythe
followingequations:
ft=σ(Wf · [ht−1,xt]+bf) (1)
it=σ(Wi · [ht−1,xt]+bi) (2)
C˜t= tanh(WC · [ht−1,xt]+bC) (3)
Ct= ft×Ct−1+ it× C˜t (4)
ot=σ(Wo · [ht−1,xt]+bo) (5)
ht= ot× tanh(Ct) (6)
wherext is thenetwork input,andht is theoutputofhiddenlayer,σdenotes thesigmoidal function,
Ct is thecell state, and CËœtdenotes thecandidatevalueof thestate. Besides, thereare threegates in
LSTM: it is the inputgate, ot is theoutputgate, and ft is the forgetgate. TheLSTMisdesigned for
solvingthe long-termdependencyproblem. Ingeneral, theLSTMprovidesgoodforecastingresults.
tC
Figure3.TheLongShortTermMemorynetwork(LSTM)structure.
3.TheProposedDeepNeuralNetwork
Thestructureof theproposeddeepneuralnetworkDeepEnergy is showninFigure4.Unlike the
general forecastingmethodbasedontheLSTM,theDeepEnergyuses theCNNstructure. The input
layerdenotes the informationonpast load,andtheoutputvaluesrepresent the futureenergy load.
Therearetwomainprocesses inDeepEnergy, featureextraction,andforecasting. Thefeatureextraction
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Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies
- Title
- Short-Term Load Forecasting by Artificial Intelligent Technologies
- Authors
- Wei-Chiang Hong
- Ming-Wei Li
- Guo-Feng Fan
- Editor
- MDPI
- Location
- Basel
- Date
- 2019
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-03897-583-0
- Size
- 17.0 x 24.4 cm
- Pages
- 448
- Keywords
- Scheduling Problems in Logistics, Transport, Timetabling, Sports, Healthcare, Engineering, Energy Management
- Category
- Informatik