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the trend component becomes linear. Typically a value of 1600 is
chosen for applications using quarterly data48• The HP filter extracts
a trend which can be stochastic but moves smoothly over time
and is uncorrelated with the cyclical component49• A further
property is its symmetry, so that no phase shift is introduced. In its
ideal representation (its infinite sample version), it approximately
places zero weight at the zero frequency (the trend) and close to
unit weight at high frequency. This last property leads to a non-
trended output but which carries high-frequency information like
the noise component e, . Figure 2 depicts the gain function of this
filter. It wipes out rather clear-cut all frequencies lower than n/16
(i.e. cycles longer than 32 quarters) and leaves all other frequen-
cies unchanged (again, the loss of spectral mass at n/2 is due to
the preceding seasonal adjustment process).
In order to overcome the disadvantage of residual high frequen-
cies, sometimes a kind of low-term moving average is applied af-
ter the HP filter for smoothing the output. Artis - Marcellino - Proi-
etti (2004) used a band-pass version of the HP filter. They com-
bined two HP filters - which both are virtual approximations of
high-pass filters - in order to get a smoother output, corresponding
to the business cycle frequency band.
The trend resulting from the minimisation process of (5) can also be
represented as a linear symmetric filter. Like all symmetric filters,
the HP filter is - in its ideal presentation - subjected to the endpoint
problem, which means that there is a loss of several observations
at the beginning and the end of the series. There exists a trade-off
relation concerning symmetric filters, i.e. the more observations
one is willing to lose, the more exactly the filtering procedure
works. In the case of the practically applied HP filter, there is no
such obvious end point problem as there is a kind of built-in me-
48 It can be shown that J = 1600 corresponds to a cut-off of frequencies lower than
32 quarters. See e.g. Prescott ( 1986) or Baxter -King ( 1995).
49 See Canova (1998).
The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
Forschungsergebnisse der Wirtschaftsuniversitat Wien
- Titel
- The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
- Autor
- Marcus Scheiblecker
- Verlag
- PETER LANG - lnternationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften
- Ort
- Frankfurt
- Datum
- 2008
- Sprache
- englisch
- Lizenz
- CC BY 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-631-75458-0
- Abmessungen
- 14.8 x 21.0 cm
- Seiten
- 236
- Schlagwörter
- Economy, Wirtschaft, WIFO, Vienna
- Kategorien
- International
- Recht und Politik
Inhaltsverzeichnis
- Zusammenfassung V
- Abstract IX
- List of figures and tables XV
- List of abbreviations XVII
- List of variables XIX
- 1. Research motivation and overview 1
- 2. The data 7
- 3. Methods of extracting business cycle characteristics 13
- 4. Identifying the business cycle 41
- 5. Analysing cyclical comovements
- 6. Dating the business cycle 61
- 7. Analysis of turning points 71
- 8. Results 79
- 9. Comparing results with earlier studies on the Austrian business cycle 125
- 9.1 Comparing the results with the study by Altissimo et al. (2001) 126
- 9.2 Comparing the results with the study by Monch -Uhlig (2004) 128
- 9.3 Comparing the results with the study by Cheung -Westermann (1999) 130
- 9.4 Comparing the results with the study by Brandner -Neusser (1992) 131
- 9.5 Comparing the results with the study by Forni - Hallin -Lippi -Reich/in (2000) 132
- 9.6 Comparing the results with the study by Breitung -Eickmeier (2005) 134
- 9.7 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Marcellino - Proietti (2004) 134
- 9.8 Comparing the results with the study by Vijselaar -Albers (2001) 140
- 9.9 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Zhang (1999) 142
- 9.10 Comparing the results with the study by Dickerson -Gibson -Tsakalotos (1998) 142
- 9.11 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Krolzig - Toro (2004) 143
- 9.12 Comparing the results with the dating calendar of the CEPR 146
- 9.13 Comparing the results with the study by Breuss ( 1984) 151
- 9.14 Comparing the results with the study by Hahn - Walterskirchen ( 1992) 153
- 9.15 Comparison of the results of different dating procedures 154
- 9 .15.1 Turning point dates of the Austrian business cycle 155
- 9 .15.2 Turning point dates of the euro area business cycle 156
- 10. Concludlng remarks 161
- References 169
- Annex 177