Seite - 174 - in The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context

174 Pena. D .• Box. G. E. P .• "Identifying a Simplifying Structure in Time Series. Journal of the American Statistical Association", 1987, 82, pp. 836-843. Prescott. E .• 'Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement", Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1986, 25. Rebelo, S .• "Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future", Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2005, 107(2), pp. 217-238. Reis. R .• 'The Time-Series Properties of Aggregate Consumption: Implications for the Cost of Fluctuations", NBER Working Paper. 2005, (11297). Ritschl. A .• Uebele. M .• "Stock Markets and Business Cycle Comovement in Ger- many Before Wor1d War I: Evidence from Spectral Analysis", CEPR Discussion Paper. 2005, (5370). Rudebusch. G. D., 'The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP", The American Economic Review. 1993, 83. R0nstler, G .• 'The long-run impact of foreign shocks to the Austrian economy: an analysis at the sectoral level", Applied Economics, 1994, 26. Sargent. T. J .• Sims. C. A .• "Business Cycle Modelling Without Pretending to Have Too Much a priori Economic Theory", in Sims, C. A. (ed.), New Methods in Business Research. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 1977. Scheiblecker, M .• "Konjunkturzyklen der osterreichischen Wirtschaft", WIFO-Monats- berichte. 2002. 75(7). Sims. C. A .• "Rational Expectations Modelling with Seasonally Adjusted Data", Jour- nal of Econometrics, I 993, 55, pp. 5-19. Solow. R. M .• "Growth Theory, New York", Oxford University Press, 1970. Stock, J. H., Watson, M. W., "New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic In- dicators. Macroeconomics Annual", M.I.T. Press, 1989, 4. Stock, J. H .• Watson, M. W., "A Probability Model of the Coincident Economic Indi- cators", in Lahiri. K .• Moore, G. (eds.), Leading Economic Indicators: New Ap- proaches and Forcasting Records, Cambridge University Press, 1991 . Stock, J. H .• Watson. M. w .. "Macroeconomic Forecasting using Diffusion Indexes", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 2002, (20). pp. 147-162 The Business Cycle Dating Committee, The NBERs Business-Cycle Dating Procedure, NBER, October 2003. Tichy, G .• lndikatoren der osterreichischen Konjunktur 1950 bis 1970. WIFO-Studien und Analysen. 1972, (4).