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but this time defined only for co within the interval [0, 1t). This meas-
ure is related to coherence - as it shows its real part - but instead
of rendering values real by a quadratic transformation, the com-
plex term is cancelled out by summing negative and positive
waves of the same frequency. This can be seen in a different rep-
resentation of
(28) - ( )_Yb,,(m)+Yb_,(-m)
Pb,s (u - 2
This should not be a drawback as (co) and (-co) have the same pe-
riodicity, which is the focus of interest in business cycle analysis.
Furthermore, the authors stressed that dynamic correlation ob-
served at a special frequency band is theoretically fully equivalent
to static correlation applied to band-pass pre-filtered data ac-
cordingly.
5.2.4 Cohesion
In order to analyse the comovement of more than one time series,
Cro ux - Forni - Reich/in ( 1999) proposed a multivariate version of
the dynamic correlation index. It is constructed by weighing to-
gether all dynamic correlation coefficients as defined in (27) and
is called cohesion by them
(29) ""· . W;W1•Ps-s·(m)
h L..,,~J I J
CO b (m) = ""
L..,;~j W; Wj
the p_, being again the dynamic correlation coefficients as de-
fined in (27) over all combinations of time series except their di-
agonal elements. The authors suggest choosing the weights ac-
cording to their economic significance (e.g. by their proportion of
contributing to GDP). This statistic has the advantage of allowing
to capture common comovements of the underlying set of time
series at all frequencies at one glance. This makes it more appro-
priate for certain tasks than looking at cross-correlations because
The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
Forschungsergebnisse der Wirtschaftsuniversitat Wien
- Title
- The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
- Author
- Marcus Scheiblecker
- Publisher
- PETER LANG - lnternationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften
- Location
- Frankfurt
- Date
- 2008
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-631-75458-0
- Size
- 14.8 x 21.0 cm
- Pages
- 236
- Keywords
- Economy, Wirtschaft, WIFO, Vienna
- Categories
- International
- Recht und Politik
Table of contents
- Zusammenfassung V
- Abstract IX
- List of figures and tables XV
- List of abbreviations XVII
- List of variables XIX
- 1. Research motivation and overview 1
- 2. The data 7
- 3. Methods of extracting business cycle characteristics 13
- 4. Identifying the business cycle 41
- 5. Analysing cyclical comovements
- 6. Dating the business cycle 61
- 7. Analysis of turning points 71
- 8. Results 79
- 9. Comparing results with earlier studies on the Austrian business cycle 125
- 9.1 Comparing the results with the study by Altissimo et al. (2001) 126
- 9.2 Comparing the results with the study by Monch -Uhlig (2004) 128
- 9.3 Comparing the results with the study by Cheung -Westermann (1999) 130
- 9.4 Comparing the results with the study by Brandner -Neusser (1992) 131
- 9.5 Comparing the results with the study by Forni - Hallin -Lippi -Reich/in (2000) 132
- 9.6 Comparing the results with the study by Breitung -Eickmeier (2005) 134
- 9.7 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Marcellino - Proietti (2004) 134
- 9.8 Comparing the results with the study by Vijselaar -Albers (2001) 140
- 9.9 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Zhang (1999) 142
- 9.10 Comparing the results with the study by Dickerson -Gibson -Tsakalotos (1998) 142
- 9.11 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Krolzig - Toro (2004) 143
- 9.12 Comparing the results with the dating calendar of the CEPR 146
- 9.13 Comparing the results with the study by Breuss ( 1984) 151
- 9.14 Comparing the results with the study by Hahn - Walterskirchen ( 1992) 153
- 9.15 Comparison of the results of different dating procedures 154
- 9 .15.1 Turning point dates of the Austrian business cycle 155
- 9 .15.2 Turning point dates of the euro area business cycle 156
- 10. Concludlng remarks 161
- References 169
- Annex 177