Page - 189 - in The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
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Table A 3 a: Analysis of turning point sequences with respect to the reference series
Austrian gross value added excluding agriculture
FOD
Average Lag at
w.r.,
Reference Peaks Troughs All
C:arlao
aufF 3.2 -2 0.6
autCDE 4 4.33 4.17
autGDP 1.75 1.4 1.56
autGHI 1.33 -0.75 0.14
autGVA 0.2 1.8 1
autJK -0.75 0.25 -0.25
eurGDP -5 -1.5 -3.6
eurGDPex 0 -3.33 -1.67
aerCDE 1 2.6 1.89
aerF -2.75 2.4 0.11
aerGDP 6.33 -3 1.67
aerGHI 1.5 -3.5 -0.17
aerGVA 5 -3 1
qerGVAex 5 -3 1
aerJK -1.67 5.33 1.83
Nole: +/-) denotes a lag /lead) with respect to the reference series.
Source: Own calculations. Median Laa at
Peaks Troughs
2 -3.5
3 -0.5
0 0
0 -0.5
0 0
0 0.5
-8 -1.5
-4.5 -5
0.5 0
-2 2
6 -4.5
2 -3.5
6 -3
6 -3
-5 -0.5
Table A 3 b: Analysis of turning point sequences with respect to the reference series
Austrian gross value added excluding agriculture
HP
Average Lag at
w.r.,
Reference Peaks Troughs All
C:arlao
aufF -1 -2 -1.5
autCDE -1.6 2.4 0.4
autGDP -0.6 -0.75 -0.67
autGHI 1 -0.75 0.13
autGVA -0.6 0 -0.33
autJK -3.5 -1.4 -2.33
eurGDP 0.25 1.25 0.75
eurGDPex -3.4 0.2 -1.6
qerCDE 0.8 2.2 1.5
aerF -1.83 -0.2 -1.09
aerGDP -2.5 2.4 0.22
aerGHI -1.25 0.2 -0.44
aerGVA -1.8 0 -0.9
qerGVAex -2 2.6 0.56
aerJK -0.25 5.75 2.75
Nole: +/-) denotes a lag (lead) with respect to the reference series.
Source: Own calculations. Median Lag
The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
Forschungsergebnisse der Wirtschaftsuniversitat Wien
- Title
- The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
- Author
- Marcus Scheiblecker
- Publisher
- PETER LANG - lnternationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften
- Location
- Frankfurt
- Date
- 2008
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-631-75458-0
- Size
- 14.8 x 21.0 cm
- Pages
- 236
- Keywords
- Economy, Wirtschaft, WIFO, Vienna
- Categories
- International
- Recht und Politik
Table of contents
- Zusammenfassung V
- Abstract IX
- List of figures and tables XV
- List of abbreviations XVII
- List of variables XIX
- 1. Research motivation and overview 1
- 2. The data 7
- 3. Methods of extracting business cycle characteristics 13
- 4. Identifying the business cycle 41
- 5. Analysing cyclical comovements
- 6. Dating the business cycle 61
- 7. Analysis of turning points 71
- 8. Results 79
- 9. Comparing results with earlier studies on the Austrian business cycle 125
- 9.1 Comparing the results with the study by Altissimo et al. (2001) 126
- 9.2 Comparing the results with the study by Monch -Uhlig (2004) 128
- 9.3 Comparing the results with the study by Cheung -Westermann (1999) 130
- 9.4 Comparing the results with the study by Brandner -Neusser (1992) 131
- 9.5 Comparing the results with the study by Forni - Hallin -Lippi -Reich/in (2000) 132
- 9.6 Comparing the results with the study by Breitung -Eickmeier (2005) 134
- 9.7 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Marcellino - Proietti (2004) 134
- 9.8 Comparing the results with the study by Vijselaar -Albers (2001) 140
- 9.9 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Zhang (1999) 142
- 9.10 Comparing the results with the study by Dickerson -Gibson -Tsakalotos (1998) 142
- 9.11 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Krolzig - Toro (2004) 143
- 9.12 Comparing the results with the dating calendar of the CEPR 146
- 9.13 Comparing the results with the study by Breuss ( 1984) 151
- 9.14 Comparing the results with the study by Hahn - Walterskirchen ( 1992) 153
- 9.15 Comparison of the results of different dating procedures 154
- 9 .15.1 Turning point dates of the Austrian business cycle 155
- 9 .15.2 Turning point dates of the euro area business cycle 156
- 10. Concludlng remarks 161
- References 169
- Annex 177