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10
The ESA95 itself - being the European version of the United Nations
SNA93 - marks a massive change in the interpretation of what has
to be recorded as output. Most prominently, computer software
was included into output, whereas it was not covered by the defi-
nition of production before.
More generally, national accounting is still far from being a static
framework of recording production. Recently, all EU Member
States had to change over from a fixed base year for price ad-
justment in national accounts to one of taking the previous year as
the base18• The re-allocation of indirectly measured financial ser-
vices (FISIM) was a further big change. These services, provided
mainly by banks, are implicitly paid for by the difference in interest
rates between loans and deposits. Until recently, they were by
convention treated entirely as intermediate consumption by en-
terprises and therefore not included in GDP. Nowadays, FISIM
have to be split up into components of private, government and
intermediate consumption, exports and imports.
Revisions - introducing all the statistical innovations referred to -
undermined a backward calculation of national accounts data
far enough for business cycle analysis. In order to generate longer
time series, data sets had to be chained backward.
For Germany, consistent seasonally adjusted national accounts
time series on a quarterly, as well as on a yearly basis, only go
back until 1991. In order to restore data for the period before re-
unification, seasonally unadjusted data covering only West-
Germany but describing a similar sectoral disaggregation have
been used for chaining19• Thereby, it is implicitly assumed, that the
18 The result is a host of time series of two years' length. In order to construct longer
time series, growth rates are calculated and chained up using a specific period as
reference in order to get long time series in absolute values. Therefore, this method
is called "chaining" or "chain-linking".
19 These data have been downloaded form the Federal German Statistical Office
website, see www.destatis.de.
The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
Forschungsergebnisse der Wirtschaftsuniversitat Wien
- Title
- The Austrian Business Cycle in the European Context
- Author
- Marcus Scheiblecker
- Publisher
- PETER LANG - lnternationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften
- Location
- Frankfurt
- Date
- 2008
- Language
- English
- License
- CC BY 4.0
- ISBN
- 978-3-631-75458-0
- Size
- 14.8 x 21.0 cm
- Pages
- 236
- Keywords
- Economy, Wirtschaft, WIFO, Vienna
- Categories
- International
- Recht und Politik
Table of contents
- Zusammenfassung V
- Abstract IX
- List of figures and tables XV
- List of abbreviations XVII
- List of variables XIX
- 1. Research motivation and overview 1
- 2. The data 7
- 3. Methods of extracting business cycle characteristics 13
- 4. Identifying the business cycle 41
- 5. Analysing cyclical comovements
- 6. Dating the business cycle 61
- 7. Analysis of turning points 71
- 8. Results 79
- 9. Comparing results with earlier studies on the Austrian business cycle 125
- 9.1 Comparing the results with the study by Altissimo et al. (2001) 126
- 9.2 Comparing the results with the study by Monch -Uhlig (2004) 128
- 9.3 Comparing the results with the study by Cheung -Westermann (1999) 130
- 9.4 Comparing the results with the study by Brandner -Neusser (1992) 131
- 9.5 Comparing the results with the study by Forni - Hallin -Lippi -Reich/in (2000) 132
- 9.6 Comparing the results with the study by Breitung -Eickmeier (2005) 134
- 9.7 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Marcellino - Proietti (2004) 134
- 9.8 Comparing the results with the study by Vijselaar -Albers (2001) 140
- 9.9 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Zhang (1999) 142
- 9.10 Comparing the results with the study by Dickerson -Gibson -Tsakalotos (1998) 142
- 9.11 Comparing the results with the study by Artis - Krolzig - Toro (2004) 143
- 9.12 Comparing the results with the dating calendar of the CEPR 146
- 9.13 Comparing the results with the study by Breuss ( 1984) 151
- 9.14 Comparing the results with the study by Hahn - Walterskirchen ( 1992) 153
- 9.15 Comparison of the results of different dating procedures 154
- 9 .15.1 Turning point dates of the Austrian business cycle 155
- 9 .15.2 Turning point dates of the euro area business cycle 156
- 10. Concludlng remarks 161
- References 169
- Annex 177